Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 16.394308 19.073280 21.986025 25.379679 29.216112 33.409576 38.330839
2025-05-25 11.575641 15.167945 19.473640 24.972734 31.763106 39.824139 50.063551
2025-06-01 8.685152 12.536562 17.527516 24.375189 33.417900 44.831149 60.186918
2025-06-08 6.560615 10.320932 15.539096 23.152689 33.790844 47.914412 67.825072
2025-06-15 5.670986 9.582105 15.322965 24.124680 36.985383 54.746796 80.702273
2025-06-22 4.847839 8.762056 14.816312 24.530634 39.311152 60.456602 92.355040
2025-06-29 4.010557 7.751801 13.844937 24.063339 40.225659 64.133081 101.288723
2025-07-06 3.251271 6.722832 12.674508 23.097622 40.214302 66.355577 108.146909
2025-07-13 3.021195 6.586815 12.948512 24.466374 43.927310 74.371265 124.077006
2025-07-20 2.791059 6.406685 13.110563 25.639122 47.385241 82.178562 140.110498
2025-07-27 2.524651 6.106278 13.009294 26.324161 50.057240 88.876173 154.756313
2025-08-03 2.242434 5.721325 12.694441 26.577196 51.983849 94.452863 167.887384
2025-08-10 1.895995 5.161609 12.023130 26.207486 52.984264 98.892797 180.013450
2025-08-17 1.575722 4.598172 11.273593 25.626550 53.604604 102.834578 191.762192
2025-08-24 1.305087 4.086962 10.546709 24.987901 54.037020 106.457616 203.182996
2025-08-31 1.039585 3.516510 9.587494 23.734243 53.148144 107.641846 210.429763
2025-09-07 0.956307 3.418283 9.687685 24.726379 56.718839 117.070055 232.629178
2025-09-14 0.850232 3.227295 9.535018 25.140899 59.154075 124.547464 251.744019
2025-09-21 0.715371 2.910777 9.017423 24.663551 59.702900 128.507978 264.687801
2025-09-28 0.580866 2.551898 8.323125 23.677021 59.071180 130.143615 273.405635
2025-10-05 0.556156 2.560022 8.611324 25.075231 63.682260 142.229736 302.258705
2025-10-12 0.525110 2.537284 8.810207 26.273038 67.940342 153.847199 330.764880
2025-10-19 0.480309 2.450178 8.811586 26.972640 71.135795 163.511167 355.980242